BNP Paribas Securities puts buy on Sun Pharmaceutical
1 Nov, 2008.
Sun Pharmaceutical
cmp: Rs 1,122.90
target price: Rs 1,695
Citing a healthy earnings growth rate of 21% till 2010-2011, BNP Paribas Securities India has rated Sun Pharma a “buy”. “The management pointed out the possibility of disengaging from Taro given the recent turmoil in credit markets and availability of far superior assets. We believe this could be a strategy to expedite the transaction and not the real intention,” the brokerage said in a client note.
BNP has valued Taro at Rs 69 a share and assigned an option value of Rs 50 to the ‘visible exclusivity opportunities from the Para IV pipeline.’ “Given its strong cash position, the management hinted at the possibility of exploring other inorganic moves in the US generics space as long as they fit the company’s defined criterion of capital returns,” the brokerage added.
Saturday, November 1, 2008
Saturday, October 4, 2008
IVRCL
Analysts' pick: IVRCL
4,Oct, 2008
IVRCL
CMP: Rs 235.05
Target price: Rs 308
Broking house Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its ‘buy’ rating on the stock saying the stock is attractively valued at 14.5 times FY09 (estimated) earnings and 11.2 times FY10E earnings at the current market price.
“We expect the company to register a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 32% and 25% in revenues and PAT (profit after tax), respectively, for FY08-10(estimated),” said the broking house in a note to its clients.
According to the broking outfit, a substantial order book growth would be the primary driver of revenues for the company.
“The order book as on May 2008 stood at Rs 12,200 crore (year on year growth of 71%) as against Rs 7,100 crore. On account of focus on cash contracts, IVRCL enjoys a healthy order book position amongst the peers,” the note said.
IVRCL has improved upon its Sales/WC (working capital) ratio at 1.9 times as against 1.7 times in FY07 and is expected to maintain the same, says the broking house. “We believe that NWC (net working capital) position in future will depend upon order intake and projects reaching revenue reorganisation level,” the note added.
4,Oct, 2008
IVRCL
CMP: Rs 235.05
Target price: Rs 308
Broking house Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its ‘buy’ rating on the stock saying the stock is attractively valued at 14.5 times FY09 (estimated) earnings and 11.2 times FY10E earnings at the current market price.
“We expect the company to register a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 32% and 25% in revenues and PAT (profit after tax), respectively, for FY08-10(estimated),” said the broking house in a note to its clients.
According to the broking outfit, a substantial order book growth would be the primary driver of revenues for the company.
“The order book as on May 2008 stood at Rs 12,200 crore (year on year growth of 71%) as against Rs 7,100 crore. On account of focus on cash contracts, IVRCL enjoys a healthy order book position amongst the peers,” the note said.
IVRCL has improved upon its Sales/WC (working capital) ratio at 1.9 times as against 1.7 times in FY07 and is expected to maintain the same, says the broking house. “We believe that NWC (net working capital) position in future will depend upon order intake and projects reaching revenue reorganisation level,” the note added.
Sunday, September 28, 2008
Dabur
Dabur up as Nepal facility resumes operations
DALAL STREET SPIKES
September 27, 2008.
The share price of Dabur moved up by 2.30 per cent, or Rs 2, to close at Rs 89.05 on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The company's subsidiary in Nepal has resumed operations, ending nearly a month-long lock-out by a pro-Maoist union over labour tussle.
The company at Birgunj in the Parsa district resumed operations yesterday after it reached an agreement with the All Nepal Trade Union Federation Revolutionary and dropped a clause that said it would not pay wages for the strike period, sources in the company said. The stock touched a high of Rs 90 and a low of Rs 87 on BSE.
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Sensex
Sensex likely to drop to 11K next month: Religare's Chakraborty
MUMBAI: The Sensex is likely to drop further to 11K level next month as foreign institutional investors are pulling out drastically due to liquidity crisis in the global market, said Amitabh Chakraborty, president-equity, Religare Securities.
“We are seeing the near-term bottom at 11,000 for the Sensex and 3,650 for the Nifty in the month of October because FIIs are in selling mode and will continue further," he said.
Foreign funds net sold $212.30 million in equity on Monday and $156 million Tuesday on news of Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy, according to SEBI data. So far, FIIs have pulled out over $1 billion from India.
Chakraborty said the present on-going problem is very much concerned with the financial economy, which is likely to shift towards non-financial economy by 2009 and the slowdown in real economy would be visible.
“More and more countries from emerging economies would come under the influence,” Chakraborty said.
However, there would be a short term bounce back in near future as a fair amount of liquidity has been pumped in by US, but the mid-term outlook is grim.
Retail investors should keep away for some more time and a better option for them would be to invest in a segment having strong cash position or other options like liquid and debt funds, he said.
MUMBAI: The Sensex is likely to drop further to 11K level next month as foreign institutional investors are pulling out drastically due to liquidity crisis in the global market, said Amitabh Chakraborty, president-equity, Religare Securities.
“We are seeing the near-term bottom at 11,000 for the Sensex and 3,650 for the Nifty in the month of October because FIIs are in selling mode and will continue further," he said.
Foreign funds net sold $212.30 million in equity on Monday and $156 million Tuesday on news of Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy, according to SEBI data. So far, FIIs have pulled out over $1 billion from India.
Chakraborty said the present on-going problem is very much concerned with the financial economy, which is likely to shift towards non-financial economy by 2009 and the slowdown in real economy would be visible.
“More and more countries from emerging economies would come under the influence,” Chakraborty said.
However, there would be a short term bounce back in near future as a fair amount of liquidity has been pumped in by US, but the mid-term outlook is grim.
Retail investors should keep away for some more time and a better option for them would be to invest in a segment having strong cash position or other options like liquid and debt funds, he said.
Saturday, August 30, 2008
ABB
Macquarie Research initiates 'underperformer' rating on ABB
10 Sep, 2008
ABB India
cmp: Rs 893.40
target price: Rs 728
Macquarie Research has initiated coverage on ABB India with an ‘underperformer’ rating saying ABB has traded at a significant premium to peers in the power sector equipment space.
“We expect growth to moderate and multiples to come off,” said Macquarie in a note to its clients. Macquarie expects the company’s growth to mod-erate to 26% CAGR over CY08-10.
“We expect ABB’s growth to come in line with BHEL’s (proxy to generation sector investment) projected growth. Our projected topline growth over CY08-10 is 26%, against 42% over CY05-07,” the note said. According to Macquarie, ABB has built-in price escalation clauses in its contracts and has also hedged key raw materials such as copper.
“We expect margins to remain stable on pass through clauses, earnings growth around 27%,” the note added.
Wait for more signals before turning positive
28 Jul, 2008,
At the recent low of 12514 points, the Sensex has tested the 12800-12000-pts support zone and has since then attempted a corrective rally. During the past trend phases in the Sensex, a monthly moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) cross-down below its trigger line, have, typically, led to a significant value erosion, with the corrective phase lasting, at least, for a year.
Therefore, immediate rallies would be interpreted as corrective in nature until the medium-term technical parameters turn positive. The recent upmove in the Sensex since the low of 12514 pts has been very sharp. The upside gap of July 23, 2008 had created a bullish ‘Island Reversal Gap’ on the daily charts between 14510 pts and 14519 pts.
Normally, the implications of this on the medium-term outlook would be very positive, especially since the “Island” comprised of 22 trading sessions. When a stock indicates an uptrend, trades above the gap which occurs, then gaps back down and trades below the initial price, an island reversal has occurred.
However, the Sensex has since run into a strong resistance zone between 15026 pts and 15390 pts. The monthly mid-point of June 2008 is at 15026 pts. The 50% retracement level of the fall from the May 2008 peak (17735 pts) is at 15124 pts. The positive implications of the bullish “Island Reversal Gap” would thus get negated if the Sensex has a daily close below 14104 pts (the close on July 22, 2008). The Sensex is then expected to have an initial downside of 13513 pts, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent rise from 12514 pts to 15130 pts.
If the bearish “Island reversal gap” of 14484-14568 pts is immediately filled and the Sensex manages to decisively overhaul the resistances between 15130 pts and 15390 pts, the ongoing upmove would continue. The Sensex may then test higher levels between 16618 pts and 16860 pts.
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the fall from the May 2008 peak is at 16618 pts while 16860 pts is the 50% retracement level of the entire fall from the January 2008 peak. Hence, one would await further confirmation before turning positive on the medium-term outlook.
10 Sep, 2008
ABB India
cmp: Rs 893.40
target price: Rs 728
Macquarie Research has initiated coverage on ABB India with an ‘underperformer’ rating saying ABB has traded at a significant premium to peers in the power sector equipment space.
“We expect growth to moderate and multiples to come off,” said Macquarie in a note to its clients. Macquarie expects the company’s growth to mod-erate to 26% CAGR over CY08-10.
“We expect ABB’s growth to come in line with BHEL’s (proxy to generation sector investment) projected growth. Our projected topline growth over CY08-10 is 26%, against 42% over CY05-07,” the note said. According to Macquarie, ABB has built-in price escalation clauses in its contracts and has also hedged key raw materials such as copper.
“We expect margins to remain stable on pass through clauses, earnings growth around 27%,” the note added.
Wait for more signals before turning positive
28 Jul, 2008,
At the recent low of 12514 points, the Sensex has tested the 12800-12000-pts support zone and has since then attempted a corrective rally. During the past trend phases in the Sensex, a monthly moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) cross-down below its trigger line, have, typically, led to a significant value erosion, with the corrective phase lasting, at least, for a year.
Therefore, immediate rallies would be interpreted as corrective in nature until the medium-term technical parameters turn positive. The recent upmove in the Sensex since the low of 12514 pts has been very sharp. The upside gap of July 23, 2008 had created a bullish ‘Island Reversal Gap’ on the daily charts between 14510 pts and 14519 pts.
Normally, the implications of this on the medium-term outlook would be very positive, especially since the “Island” comprised of 22 trading sessions. When a stock indicates an uptrend, trades above the gap which occurs, then gaps back down and trades below the initial price, an island reversal has occurred.
However, the Sensex has since run into a strong resistance zone between 15026 pts and 15390 pts. The monthly mid-point of June 2008 is at 15026 pts. The 50% retracement level of the fall from the May 2008 peak (17735 pts) is at 15124 pts. The positive implications of the bullish “Island Reversal Gap” would thus get negated if the Sensex has a daily close below 14104 pts (the close on July 22, 2008). The Sensex is then expected to have an initial downside of 13513 pts, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent rise from 12514 pts to 15130 pts.
If the bearish “Island reversal gap” of 14484-14568 pts is immediately filled and the Sensex manages to decisively overhaul the resistances between 15130 pts and 15390 pts, the ongoing upmove would continue. The Sensex may then test higher levels between 16618 pts and 16860 pts.
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the fall from the May 2008 peak is at 16618 pts while 16860 pts is the 50% retracement level of the entire fall from the January 2008 peak. Hence, one would await further confirmation before turning positive on the medium-term outlook.
Friday, August 15, 2008
Dish TV
Dish TV shines bright on debut in NSE F&O
August 14, 2008
Dish TV India on Wednesday surged 10.26 per cent to close at Rs 39.75 after being included in NSE’s futures and options segment with effect from August 21. NSE announced this yesterday after the market hours. The stock opened 7.07 per cent higher at Rs 38.60 and touched an intraday high of Rs 40.45.
The counter witnessed volumes of 76,78,034 shares vis-à-vis a two-week average of 34,47,892 shares. The stock hit a 52-week high of Rs 106.4 on January 1 and a 52-week low of Rs 26.3 on July 2. The scrip has gained 18.1 per cent in the last one week.
August 14, 2008
Dish TV India on Wednesday surged 10.26 per cent to close at Rs 39.75 after being included in NSE’s futures and options segment with effect from August 21. NSE announced this yesterday after the market hours. The stock opened 7.07 per cent higher at Rs 38.60 and touched an intraday high of Rs 40.45.
The counter witnessed volumes of 76,78,034 shares vis-à-vis a two-week average of 34,47,892 shares. The stock hit a 52-week high of Rs 106.4 on January 1 and a 52-week low of Rs 26.3 on July 2. The scrip has gained 18.1 per cent in the last one week.
Saturday, August 9, 2008
Tata Motors
Anand Rathi puts 'buy' on Tata Motors
7 Aug, 2008
Anand Rathi Securities has initiated a medium term technical 'buy' call on Tata Motors. The brokerage suggests buying this stock between Rs 430-440 with a stoploss of Rs 399 for a target of Rs 520. The current market price is Rs 440.
The stock has sustained above its strong resistance levels at Rs 435-440. The 14-day Relative Strength Index indicates the stock is in an oversold zone and the candle stick chart has formed a bullish engulfing pattern.
“We strongly believe that the stock has entered into medium term bullishness with substantial upside,” Anand Rathi says in its report
7 Aug, 2008
Anand Rathi Securities has initiated a medium term technical 'buy' call on Tata Motors. The brokerage suggests buying this stock between Rs 430-440 with a stoploss of Rs 399 for a target of Rs 520. The current market price is Rs 440.
The stock has sustained above its strong resistance levels at Rs 435-440. The 14-day Relative Strength Index indicates the stock is in an oversold zone and the candle stick chart has formed a bullish engulfing pattern.
“We strongly believe that the stock has entered into medium term bullishness with substantial upside,” Anand Rathi says in its report
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